We are continuing to monitor an area of low pressure off the Central American coast as it drifts north.
According to Weather Underground's Cat 6 blog, a similar system became Tropical Depression 16 at this time past year and would later become Hurricane Nate, which made landfall in Louisiana as a Category 1 storm on October 7.
The Hurricane Center said environmental conditions were becoming more favorable for the disturbance to become a tropical cyclone, possibly on Sunday or Monday.
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"Some models say something is going to develop out of that; other models say nothing will", said FOX 35 Chief Meteorologist Glenn Richards.
The center warned of potential "storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts" in the northern Gulf Coast by mid-week, "although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of these impacts". Weather Underground said some models show the storm could strengthen to a hurricane before landfall. Areas of North Carolina and SC are still dealing with impact from hurricane flooding in September.
Exactly how much rain is to be determined, based on how where this storm goes and what shape it's in after moving through the aforementioned area of wind shear. The floodgates open at regular intervals, but South Lafourche Levee District said it was monitoring tides and could change floodgate schedules accordingly. The Category 1 hurricane will continue to move northward, before shifting east in the open ocean.